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India Business Forum 2008 is London Business School’s sixth annual day long conference with a focus on India. It reflects our ongoing commitment to the region. An audience of 300-400 business, academia, government leaders, media representatives and students get an opportunity to engage with experts involved in business in the region.
Background :
At its current growth trajectory, the Indian market will undergo a major transformation over the next two decades. Income levels will triple and India will climb from its position as the 12th largest consumer market today to become the world’s fifth-largest consumer market by 2025.Over 291 million people will move from desperate poverty to a more sustainable life, and India’s middle class will swell by over five times from its current size of 50 million to 280 million people. By 2025 over 23 million Indians will number among the country’s wealthiest citizens. Indian spending patterns will also evolve, with basic necessities such as food declining in relative importance, and categories such as housing and health care growing rapidly.

This consumer growth will require an enormous amount of investment in a variety of sectors. Some of this will be in the traditional service sectors such as information technology, media, communications and financial services. A large proportion of this will be in sectors which have been traditionally neglected, such as hospitality, consumer, retail and healthcare among others.

Objective :
This conference aims to highlight the opportunities in certain sectors of the economy, the challenges faced by policy makers in paving the way for the growth, and the evolution of the Indian consumer over the last quarter of a century as the ultimate decision maker. Spanning across a broad range of industry segments, the conference will address these key questions and more that are at the fore-front of India’s growth story today.
  1. What are the short and long-term prospects for specific industry segments?
  2. Where are the opportunities for investment?
  3. What are the policy level barriers to growth in certain sectors?
  4. Will the consumer led investment cycle be sustainable, or will it lead to a growing divide between the haves and the have-nots?
  5. Is there a need for regulated FDI, or should the Government allow foreign money to move in and out of the country more freely in some of these sectors?
Format of Event
The conference will be a day-long event starting with a breakfast keynote, panel discussions and ending with networking drinks.
Keynote Addresses
Keynote speakers will address the broader areas of growth or concern for the economy, and aim to highlight some of the overarching stories that underlie India’s growth story.
Panel
The panels will focus on the four prongs of research, entrepreneurship, investment and policy. Macroeconomic research into consumer patterns and behaviour often paves the way forward for investor interest in a sector. This leads to investment by entrepreneurs and investors. Policy is the key pillar that supports and often regulates the direction in which the sector progresses.

The Investment Climate

India already has more middle-class people on a purchasing power parity basis than the entire population of the USA. The rapid
growth in GDP has been fuelled by the increased spending power of the Indian middle class. The competitive demands for enhanced goods and services and product choice/quality are creating further openings for international financial services groups, private equity players and international investors. This panel aims to address this growth story, and how the investment climate will shape up in the next few years. It will also address
some of the challenges being faced by the investors in the current investing climate.

Balancing the market and social demands

The rapid growth of India’s spending power is manifest most in the growth of the consumer goods industry. Retail sales in India's consumer goods market are expected to grow to USD 400 billion by 2010, making it one of the world's five biggest. At the same time, there have been regulatory changes that have allowed foreign players to play an active role in the retail sector. Organised retail is expected to increase from 3% of retail sales to 10% by 2010. The spending boom that has spread to India’s Tier 2 cities has led to increased demand for everyday goods. This panel will delve into the prospects for this sector, and the investment opportunities that present themselves.
Some sub-sectors that the conference will cover include retailing across luxury goods, health & personal care and food & beverages.
Is it just the beginning?

Merrill Lynch has forecasted that the Indian realty sector will grow from $12 billion in 2005 to $90 billion by 2015". The rapidly growing Indian market is growing towards maturity with increasing participation from large local and international players, rising investor interest and a market friendly approach. Indian real estate companies are making multi-million dollar investments in development of both retail and commercial space.

The government’s decisions to allow 100% foreign direct investment (FDI) and the entry of venture funds in real estate are expected to add to the growth momentum created by affordable financing options and rising disposable incomes. Further, there are indications that obstacles such as the absence of investment instruments in real estate are likely to be removed. Already, real estate mutual funds have been allowed to be floated in a move industry observers believe will pave the way for the setting-up of Real Estate Investment Trust-like structures. At the same time, price of real estate in India is at par with developed countries.

This panel aims to discuss the opportunities and challenges facing this sector, and will discuss the long term potential for the sector.

 
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